Miami Heat (54-28, 12-3) vs.
San Antonio Spurs (62-20, 12-6)
Heat Finals History
2006: Beat the Mavericks 4-2
2011: Lost to the Mavericks 2-4
2012: Beat the Thunder 4-1
2013: Beat the Spurs 4-3
Spurs Finals History
1999: Beat the Knicks 4-1
2003: Beat the Nets 4-2
2005: Beat the Pistons 4-3
2007: Beat the Cavaliers 4-0
2013: Lost to the Heat, 3-4
Positional Matchups
Point Guard
Even if he is not 100% Tony Parker can still be a matchup nightmare for any point guard. The Heat don't ask a lot of of their point guards, but when they do Mario Chalmers is usually there to deliver and is not afraid of the big moment.
Advantage: Spurs
Shooting Guard
Danny Green is in the perfect system for his talents, as he is asked to do what he does best: make a lot of open threes. While Dwyane Wade is no longer in his prime, he is still among the top players in the league when healthy, which he appears to be now.
Advantage: Heat
Small Forward
Kawhi Leonard has become one of the best two-way players in the league and gives the Spurs the athletic stopper they need to guard the league best wings. He of course will have his hands full this series with the world's greatest player, aka LeBron James, who's mental game has reached the same level as his physical gifts.
Advantage: Heat
Power Forward
Assuming both teams stay with the starting lineups they finished the conference finals with both teams will start a similar-type player at the 4 spot. Matt Bonner and Rashard Lewis will both be out there to spread the floor, but it was Lewis who was the one actually putting the ball in the hoop in the last round.
Advantage: Heat
Center
Even at 38, Tim Duncan is a matchup nightmare inside for any team, let alone for the smaller Heat. Chris Bosh has adjusted his game by playing farther out from the basket, hitting his most threes in a season by far, which gives better driving lanes for LeBron an Wade.
Advantage: Spurs
Bench
The Spurs one again feature one the league's better 2nd units led by the amazing Manu Ginobili. The continued career renaissance of Boris Diaw along with the emergence of Patty Mills make this perhaps the Spurs' best bench yet. The Heat bring strong reserves of their own led by the league's best ever from behind the three point stripe, Ray Allen, whose shot that tied Game 6 last year kept the Spurs from another championship. Chris "Birdman" Andersen and Norris Cole come in to the game to ratchet up the intensity and bring the Heat's vaunted defensive pressure to another level.
Advantage: Spurs
Coaching
This series will once again pit two of the league's best coaching minds. Gregg Popovich is one of the all-time great coaches in any sport, and showed why again this year as he won his third Coach of the Year award. Eric Spoelstra might not get the credit Pop does but he has done a remarkable job of his own as he has pushed the right buttons in leading his team to a 4th consecutive Finals appearance.
Advantage: Spurs
Prediction
To me this series is about as even as it gets. Last's year Finals was an all-time classic and I expect another nail-biting series this time around. I think what swings this series is what has swung a lot of Finals matchups: The Heat have the best player on the planet and the Spurs don't. At this point it's hard to bet against Lebron. His team has won 11 playoff series in a row for a reason and while he will see many different defensive looks from the Spurs, like last year he will in the end figure them out.
Heat in 6
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