Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Mavericks vs. Hawks: Game 1 Preview

Dallas Mavericks (0-0) vs. Atlanta Hawks (0-0)
Wed. Oct. 18, 2017, 7:30 at the AAC
TV: FSSW, NBALP

2016-17 Meetings
Jan, 7 at Dallas: Hawks 97 Mavs 82
Mar. 1 at ATL: Hawks 100 Mavs 95
All-Time Series: Hawks 40 Mavs 32

Projected Starters
Mavs
PG: Dennis Smith Jr.
SG: Yogi Ferrell
SF: Wesley Matthews
PF: Harrison Barnes
C: Dirk Nowitzki
Hawks
PG: Dennis Schroder
SG: Kent Bazemore
SF: Taurean Prince
PF: Ersan Ilyasova
C: Dwayne Dedmon

Injuries: Seth Curry is out with a stress reaction in his left tibia.

2016-17 Team Stats
Mavs
Offensive Rating: 105.6 (25th)
Defensive Rating: 108.8 (15th)
Point Differential: -2.9
Hawls
Offensive Rating: 104.9 (27th)
Defensive Rating: 105.7 (4th)
Point Differential: -0.8

2016-17 Team Leaders
Mavs
PPG: Barnes, 19.2
RPG: Nowitzki, 6.5
APG: Matthews, 2.9
PER: Powell, 17.6
Hawks
PPG: Millsap, 18.1
RPG: Howard, 12.7
APG: Schroder, 6.3
PER: Howard, 20.8

Of Note

  • The Mavs are 21-16 all-time in season openers and 12-8 in openers played at home. They last opened at home in 2013 also against Atlanta, a game the Mavs won 118-109.
  • The Mavs haven't beaten Atlanta since that game, losing their 7 to the Hawks.
  • Dennis Smith Jr. will make his much anticipated NBA debut after averaging 10.8 points and 4.0 assists in 21.2 minutes in 6 preseason games.
  • Dirk needs to score 1,160 points this season to pass Wilt Chamberlain for fifth on the NBA career scoring list.
  • The Hawks are undergoing a major rebuild after losing Paul Millsap and Dwight Howard this off-season. Expect Dennis Schroder to be the new go-to guy in Atlanta. Schroder scored 37 in the Hawks two wins over the Mavs last season.

Monday, October 16, 2017

Prominent NBA Debuts of Mavs Rookies


With Dennis Smith Jr. about to make his much anticipated NBA debut on Wednesday, I thought I'd take a look back at how other prominent Mavs rookies did in their NBA debuts.

1981: Mark Aguirre and Rolando Blackman
Aguirre, the only #1 overall pick in franchise history, filled the box score, scoing 19 points to go along with 11 rebounds and 4 assists. Unfortunately he was 7-21 from the field in a 105-89 Mavs loss to Utah. Blackman struggled in his debut, scoring 2 points on 1-7 shooting. Much better days were to come for both players.

1983: Derek Harper and Dale Ellis
Ellis the ninth pick in the 83 draft scored 11 points in 15 minutes, as the Mavs walloped the Suns 120-103. Harper, the 11th pick, only played 1 minute and scored 2 points. A much bigger role would soon come for the young point guard.

1984: Sam Perkins
Perkins scored 12 points and 8 rebounds as he started at center in his maiden NBA voyage. He was overshadowed however by Hakeem Olajuwon, who had 24 and 9 in his debut as the Mavs fell to Houston 121-111.

1986: Roy Tarpley
Tarpley showed his rebounding prowess by grabbing 10 boards in 19 minutes to go along 7 points as the Mavs thumped the Jazz 103-77.

1993: Jim Jackson
After a lengthy contract holdout that forced him to miss the season's first 54 games, Jackson finally made debut on March 5 in a 105-86 loss to the Rockets. Jackson, started at shooting guard and scored 6 points on 3-8 shooting in 26 minutes.

1993: Jamal Mashburn
Even thought the Mavs fell 102-86 to Utah, Mashburn had a successful first outing, scoring 22 points to lead the team in scoring. He also added 5 assists while shooting 8-15 from the field.

1994: Jason Kidd
The future hall of famer started his co-rookie of the year season by coming 1 rebound short of a triple double in a 112-103 Mavs victory over the Nets. Kidd scored 10 points to go along with his 11 assists and 9 rebounds. The Mavs would win 36 games that year, a huge improvement on the 13 they won in 93-94.

1999: Dirk Nowitzki
Dirk's NBA debut would hardly predict the great heights that were to come, as the then 20-year-old scored 2 points on 0-5 shooting in 16 minutes. The Mavs fell to Dirk's countryman Detlef Schrempf and the Sonics  92-86 in overtime. A lockout shortened season only made the transition to the league tougher for the young German but greatness would soon follow and continues to this day.

2003: Josh Howard
In a game most notable for the only appearance of the Mavs silver "garbage bag" uniforms, Howard  scored 4 points and grabbed 3 rebounds in only 5 minutes of action. Although he was only the 29th pick in the draft, Howard would go on to be named 2nd team all-rookie in first season.

2004: Devin Harris
Harris had big shoes to  feel as he took over the starting point guard spot from the departed Steve Nash. He performed up to task in his first game, scoring 8 points and dishing off 7 assists in a 107-98 win over the rival Kings. Now in his 14th season in the league, Harris will serve as veteran mentor to Dennis Smith.

2009: Rodrigue Beaubois
After getting a DNP-CD in the season opener, Roddy B. got his first action in the second game of the year, playing 3 scoreless minutes in 94-80 road win over the Lakers. Beaubois would make his presence felt with a 40 point game at Golden State later in his rookie year but unfortunately injuries would derail what look to be a promising career.

Gian Clavell Signed To Two-Way Deal


After an impressive preseason, the Mavericks today announced they have signed rookie guard Gian Clavell to a two-way contract. Clavell, a 23 year old rookie and native Puerto Rican, averaged 8.8 points, 3.0 and 1.7 assists in 17.5 minutes during the preseason. He was Mountain West Conference Player of the Year last year at Colorado State, avering 20.4 points and 6.3 rebounds a game.
The Mavs have now used both of their two-way slots with Clavell joining Johnathan Motley who signed this summer. This is the first year of the two-way contract where players will split time between their NBA team and its D-League affiliate. The Mavs affiliate is the Texas Legends who play in Frisco. Two-way players can only spend 45 day during the season with their NBA team.
The Mavericks opening night roster is now finalized with 15 players signed to standard contracts and the 2 two-way deals.

2017-18 Mavericks Roster
Dirk Nowitzki
Harrison Barnes
Dennis Smith Jr.
Wesley Matthews
Seth Curry
Yogi Ferrell
Nerlens Noel
J.J. Barea
Devin Harris
Dwight Powell
Dorian Finney-Smith
Salah Mejri
Jeff Withey
Josh McRoberts
Maxi Kleber
Johnathan Motley (two-way)
Gian Clavell (two-way)


Friday, October 13, 2017

My 2017-18 NBA Predictions

West
1. Golden State
2. Houston
3. Oklahoma City
4. San Antonio
5. Minnesota
6. Denver
7. LA Clippers
8. Portland
9. Utah
10. Dallas
11. New Orleans
12. Memphis
13. LA Lakers
14. Sacramento
15. Phoenix

East
1. Cleveland
2. Washington
3. Boston
4. Toronto
5. Milwaukee
6. Charlotte
7. Miami
8. Detroit
9. Philadelphia
10. Orlando
11. Indiana
12. New York
13. Brooklyn
14. Atlanta
15. Chicago

West Finals: Golden State over Houston
East Finals: Cleveland over Washington
NBA Finals: Golden State over Cleveland

Awards
MVP: Kawhi Leonard
Rookie of the Year: Dennis Smith Jr.
Defensive Player of the Year: Rudy Gobert
Coach of the Year: Tom Thibodeau
Most Improved Player: Myles Turner
Sixth Man of the Year: Lou Williams

All-NBA
First Team
F: Kawhi Leonard
F: LeBron James
C: Karl-Anthony Towns
G: Stephen Curry
G: Russell Westbrook
Second Team
F: Kevin Durant
F: Anthony Davis
C: Rudy Gobert
G: James Harden
G: John Wall
Third Team
F: Giannis Antetokounmpo
F: Jimmy Butler
C: Nikola Jokic
G: Kyrie Irving
G: Chris Paul

All-Rookie Team
Dennis Smith Jr.
Lonzo Ball
Ben Simmons
Markelle Fultz
DeAaron Fox

All-Defense
F: Kawhi Leonard
F: Draymond Green
C: Rudy Gobert
G: Chris Paul
G: Avery Bradley




Monday, October 2, 2017

Ranking the Most Important Mavs: #20 to #1

With the preseason getting underway tonight, let's take a look at the Mavs current 20 man roster and where they rank in their importance to the team for the upcoming season.

#20: Maalik Wayns
Wayns is the only player of the players with non-guaranteed contracts who has previous NBA experience. It also means at 26, he is the oldest of the group and the least likely to get the team's second two-way contract spot.

#19: Brandon Ashley
Ashley started at center for the Mavs Vegas Summer League team and has previously spent time in Frisco for the Legends. His game is very similar to Dwight Powell so he might be seen as redundant.

18: P.J. Dozier
Dozier was a key player for South Carolina in their surprise run to the Final Four last season. He is a tall point guard who excels at defense but struggled with his outside shot in college. A definite two-way candidate.

17: Gian Clavell
Clavell was the Mountain West player of the year last season at Colorado State and played well for Miami in Vegas. A two guard who can both shoot and handle the ball I would put him as the favorite to get the Mavs second two way deal.

16: Johnathan Motley
Motley, who was a second team All-American at Baylor, was projected to be an early second round
pick before concerns over his knee led him to be undrafted. The Mavs quickly signed him to their first two-way contract spot. He'll spend most of the year with the Legends but could become a contributor to the big club in the years to come.

15: Maxi Kleber
Hailing from the same howetown as Dirk (Wurzburg), Kelber has had success playing in his native Germany. Transitioning to the NBA will probably in an adjustment so I'd expect him  to be shuttling between Dallas and Frisco. At worst he'll give Dirk someone to talk German with behind everyone else's back.

14: Jeff Withey
Withey has shown himself to be a competent depth big man in his 4 years in  the league with New Orleans and Utah. A very good rim protector, Withey is not a bad guy to have in a pinch if you need a big body.

13: Josh McRoberts
It's hard to know what McRoberts has left after spending three injury marred years in Miami. When he's healthy McRoberts is a versatile big who can pass and spread the floor. He might also provide value as an expiring contract to a team looking to create cap room.

12: Salah Mejri
Mejri has had his moments in his two seasons with the Mavs. With his contract up after this year it's time for him to show more consistency if wants to be around long term. As is he can always provide a spark of energy off the bench.

11: Dorian Finney-Smith
We know Finney-Smith can defend. What he needs to show is major improvement on the offensive end if he wants consistent playing time. His percentages of 37% from the field and 29% from three last season are not going to cut it going forward. Still his defense gives him a defined role.

10: Devin Harris
Harris can still be an effective player at both guard spots when he's healthy. Almost as importantly the 34 year old provides leadership and professionalism as an example to his younger teammates.

9: Dwight Powell
After signing a nice size deal last off-season the Mavs are still waiting for Powell to take the next step forward. He provides good finishing ability and athleticism as an undersized 5 but can be bullied by larger players at that position. His lack of a consistent perimeter shot makes playing him at the 4 problematic. We'll see what kind of improvements he can make to help justify the team's faith in him.

8: J.J. Barea
Enttering his 12th season, Barea is as effective as he's ever been. He's mastered playing with Dirk and uses his speed to create for himself and others. He's also improved as an outside shooter as his career has gone along. While his size screates obvious limitations on defense, he makes up for it by being an incredible pest on that end.

7: Yogi Ferrell
After bursting on to scene mid-season, Ferrell continued to prove he was no fluke as the season went on. Playing with Dennis Smith Jr. in Summer League should help as it figures the two will share the floor some this season. Yogi is dynamic with the ball but his shooting ability also allows his to play off the ball as well. This is also a contract year for him so expect to stay as motivated as he was last year.

6: Seth Curry
Curry's first year as a full-time player was an unqualified success as he actually bested his more accomplished brother in both field goal and three point shooting percentage. Whether he starts or comes off the bench Curry's shooting and underrated playmaking will be a huge asset. Expect him to get most of his minutes at the 2 now with Smith, Ferrell and Barea dominating the time at the 1.

5: Wesley Matthews
While his shooting numbers haven't returned to what they were pre-achilles injury, Matthews still brings tremendous value with his relentless defense. Matthews was asked to create off the dribble too much last season, which likely won't be the case this year. Hopefully the return to mainly just catching and shooting will be a boom to game.

4: Nerlens Noel
After a bizarre contract drama which saw Noel accept the one year qualifying offer from the Mavs, Noel enters this season with a lot to prove. It looks like that proving will come in a bench role with Dirk set to start at the 5. That doesn't mean Noel won't have an important role. His defensive ability as both a protector the basket and ability to guard perimeter is special for a big. Plus his ability to catch lobs and finish on offense gives the Mavs a dimension they haven't had since Tyson Chandler. Health is always a question mark for Noel but the potential is still tantalizing,

3: Dirk Nowitzki
Yes, It's extremely weird to not see Dirk at #1 on the list let alone at #3. But still the now 39 year old legend will bring a lot of value to the Mavs in his 20th season. His ability to stretch the floor at the 5 spot will be a nightmare for opposing center who are much more comfortable guarding the basket. While he is defensively limited at his advanced basketball age, playing center should be much easier for Dirk instead of chasing around the modern multi-dimensional fours in today NBA, a position he helped create. Long live #41.

2: Dennis Smith Jr.
Yes, you can believe the hype. Expect the 9th overall pick to have a huge impact on this team. Despite the growing pains any rookie has, Smith has natural gifts and talent that make him a player uniquely qualified to lead a team at point guard at such a precocious age. His explosiveness and athleticism is something we have really never seen from a Maverick point guard and it will be a lot of fun watching him grow as a player. Rookie of the Year should definitely be a strong possibility.

1. Harrison Barnes
A lot has changed for Barnes in a year. He entered last year trying to justify a max contract that a lot of people questioned and he did not only that but he exceeded expectations. It's now time for Barnes to make another big jump as now this team's #1 option. Barnes has talked about knowing that he needs to shoot more free throws and is focused on that aspect of his game. He also must improve as a passer, something he did get better at as last season went on. If he can take improve in those aspects, Barnes can become an all-star level player who is capable of along with Smith leading the next generation of a Mavs into contender status.